After the parliamentary elections the change of positions in the governmental elite has been partially solved. It was confirmed who would be the 131 MPs in the legislative. And on May 31 they elected the new chair of parliament and deputy-chairs. The process of arrangements will come to an end within 10 days or so when the president of Armenia will ratify the posts of the Premier and the members of government. It seems that the reformulation of the government ends for the upcoming five years because it is mostly formed as a result of parliamentary elections. Especially in our case it becomes apparent since the RPA again has the majority in the parliament. It means that for the upcoming five years the party will have the power to from the government and the parliament on its own. And after the elections 2013 only the president might be changed. And even if the president elect is the chair of another party the parliament will stay the same. And the RPA with the majority of its MPs will be able to be in charge of the government. Of course, if extraordinary elections don’t take place in Armenia. However, it turns out that in our country these appointments will be made for the short period of time – up until the presidential elections 2013. At any rate, such an atmosphere dominates in the governmental camp. And after the presidential elections, the government and the Premier will be replaced. Of course, it is not excluded that some of the ministers will continue their duties. Neither is it excluded that the current chairmanship of the NA will be replaced. And perhaps there is a reason why the newly elected NA chair Hovik Abrahamyan said that after the presidential race some forces will be swapped. What does this mean? And what is he referring to? Does this mean that the RPA will be forming a new government led by a new Premier? At any rate, Abrahamyan would most probably differentiate between the possible changes. So he rushed with his statements and started to make hints on what would happen in 8 months. According to our information, after the May 6 elections, as a result of the negotiations between Serzh Sargsyan and Gagik Tsarukyan it was agreed that the PAP will endorse the incumbent president during the upcoming presidential race. This means that after the elections a new ruling coalition will be formed. The parties have only decided not to publicize this yet. As a result of this agreement, the PAP will be entrusted a big number of ministerial portfolios. Let’s remember that Abrahamyan has participated in the Sargsan-Tsarukyan negotiations. So he didn’t hint as the change of forces by accident. By the way, the chairman of the political scientists’ union Hmayak Hovhannisyan, who was number nine on PAP’s list also said that he’d like to take on the post of the Premier in order to endorse the candidacy of Serzh Sargsyan during the upcoming elections. By the way, the latter was made to withdraw from the list because Sargsyan had certain reservations for him to become an MP. After getting deprived of the MP’s mandate Hovhannisyan discloses the agreements of the RPA and PAP before the elections. “The PAP will put forward its anti-crisis plan, which also includes the change of the Premier,” said Hovhannisyan. “I honestly don’t have such information and this matter hasn’t even been discussed,” said RPA deputy-hair Galust Sahakyan when asked about the possibility of giving the post of the Premier to the PAP. In that case, what does Abrahamyan mean by saying new arrangement of powers? “The presidential elections are considered changed of situation. After the presidential elections, according to the constitution, a new government should be formed. So it’s natural that there should be certain change,” he said. Let us remember that recently there has been a leak in the media that during the RPA-PAP Tsarukyan has presented to Sargsyan the PAP’s anti-crisis plan, which consisted of eight points. The first condition of that is the change of the Premier. Let’s once again remember that three people participated in these negotiations – Sargsyan, Tsarukyan and Hovhannisyan. And the leak was probably done by Abrahamyan. Tsarukyan would hardly want to publicize their demands to the RPA. As of the RPA and PAP relations or more accurately the role of Kocharyan in Sargsyan’s policies then according to the recent developments the impression is that the incumbent is receding his positions by giving dangerous instructions to his team. And it seems that he’s going for dangerous compromises for his second-term victory. He gave in the pressure of the PAP and at the last moment returned Abrahamyan to the post of the NA chair. The latter was fired because of having very covert relations with the PAP. As a result of the same pressure, he promised to give the Premier’s post to the PAP. And what does this mean? Will the president be able to consider himself a full president (of course, if he’s elected again) if the competing party is in charge of the government and the NA? And again, isn’t he taking too many compromises? At any rate, such concerns exist in certain groups of the RPA and people draw conclusions. By the way, it would be appropriate to remember a part of the recent interview of Robert Kocharyan, in which he says the following about the chess politics of Sargsyan, “In chess the point of the game is to protect the head of the king with all the possible means. For that purpose one should sacrifice even the half of the kingdom for that sake. I don’t think that this kind of setup can encourage anyone except the king. So it would be better to leave the chess alone. Let is just be an intellectual game and it’s good that it has so much popularity in the country.”
