Armenia has lived another post-electoral week without a coalition. It seems nothing has changed as a result of that. Surely nothing will change even if the new coalition is formed or not. As the time showed, the RPA, which vast majority in the parliament, and the PAP, which criticize the RPA the most, need a coalition. The other parties that entered the parliament will most probably not mind being a member of dividing the “apple pie,” however they cannot do that because they need to stay loyal to the rules of their genre. However, as the past elections showed, nothing is excluded in Armenia. However, if up until recently, the talks have been covert and on an internal platform then now, after the RPA extended session the talks of the ruling coalition have become more “external.” After this session, they stated that during the meeting of Sargsyan and Tsarukyan the parties discussed foreign policy issues as well. From the first sight it may seem that this matter is brought up to the coalition declaration by the initiative of the RPA in order to create certain justification for the PAP. As during the February declaration of the previous year the PAP agreed to sign the coalition declaration because of the “foreign challenges” now as well, they are trying to create certain impetus for the PAP to do the same. But during the past several days another version has been circulating among the PAP members – unity of all the parliamentary forces (besides the ANC) and even non-parliamentary forces. During the past two days, select RPA members have been brining that up and discussing this issue. The government, as a rule, delivers its messages via those Republicans. Regardless of how implausible it might be in practice, besides the Legal State and PAP, even the existence of these rumors come to speak about dangerous traits. The problem is not only the victory of Serzh Sargsyan during the 2013 elections or the endorsement of these parties of his candidacy. With their content the May 6 parliamentary elections were totally rigged, but the government was able to deserve the high mark of the international community after being able to provide the formal side of it. It would be naïve to think that the observation missions or the organizations operating in Armenia that form the opinion of the international community, didn’t know what was going on. It means that they perfectly knew what was going on here. However, they gave their positive evaluation to elections. It is evident that they did it not because of somebody’s pretty eyes or because of Nzhdeh’s ideology. They clearly had some other goals. They did so to have the consent of the Armenian government regarding to the solution of certain issues. Indeed, the expectations of the international community first of all relate to Karabakh and regulation of Armenia-Turkey relations. Moreover, it is not excluded that certain drastic developments may be registered in this direction by the kickoff of the next presidential elections. It is evident that in this case the government needs maximally silent opposition. Of course, after the May 6 elections, opposition has become a quite conditional group because the government let them overcome the threshold only with minimum chances. However, if in the future Armenia will go through important developments, even such a silent opposition may be a challenge for Armenia. And now by trying to bring up the “pan-national thesis” the government is trying to solve this issue as well. Moreover, it is not an accident that during the last days the RPA members have been saying that besides the ANC there have been meetings of various formats with other opposition parties. In this pretext, the ANC is the least dangerous force for the government because as the time showed Ter-Petrosyan supported Serzh Sargsyan in his policies to develop relations with Turkey and the matter of the NKR conflict resolution. Wikileaks showed that Ter-Petrosyan is willing to support Serzh Sargsyan. So during the process of formation of the ruling coalition the government is trying to obliterate the imperceptible weight of the opposition. If they succeed in seating everyone around the same coalition table, then the issue can be considered solved.
