Literally two days ago the family of one of the most prominent economists of our country left for Germany – the economist, his wife and three children. It is clear that the tickets were one-way. The people, who were seeing them off, had told that together with them a group of violinists was leaving too for good. We may say that it is the people’s free choice to live in the country they prefer. However, we all know the truth. We know what people are escaping from. The government is not responsible for the ones, who leave. It is not responsible for the ones, who stay either. However, it is preparing for the parliamentary elections due on May 6, 2012 in order to celebrate their glorious victory. On the first day of spring, there were opinions expressed about the first days of March of 2008. The optimists have expressed a hope that after the elections 2012-2013, the developments will not be full of blood. They were saying that the internal political atmosphere is different. Is it really different now? I can insist that not really. In fact, the internal political situation doesn’t differ much from year 2008. There are all the grounds for mass demonstrations and staying on the streets. The only thing is that the attitude of the protesters has changed. One thing is clear for sure. The events of March 1 won’t be repeated only in one case if the government doesn’t feel its necessity. If a political force comes up with the determination to change the government and go to a drastic change in the country the government will not hesitate to repeat the same methods. It seemed that this force was formed in 2008. The ones, who went on the street on March 1, have later realized that the movement cannot last too long without a clear vision, issues and platform. In order to appease this uprising it will be necessary to use some techniques and in this case military techniques. Ten lives were a very expensive price to pay to come to this conclusion and understanding. While a part of potential protesters and complaining citizens have become disappointed and have decided to leave the country, the government continues to struggle. We are all clearly instructed to go out to the streets and try to change the government via unconstitutional methods. We have already said that our army is the best-trained in the region. And there is no precedent in our country that the government can be changed with legal methods. The evidence of that is the denial of the government to transition to the 100% proportional electoral system. The chair of the NA standing committee on legal affairs Davit Harutyunyan has stated the following from the floor of the parliament, “During the majoritarian elections the ones, who win, represent the ruling party. It means there is no secret here and this allows to establish a stable majority in the government. Without this model, we believe that at this stage it is impossible to have majority in the parliament.” The statement of the RA minister of justice Hrayr Tovmasyan was more gloomy from the same floor, “We have nothing to hide. Any electoral system should provide the representative character of the parliament and a stable majority can be formed. We are against the 100% proportional system because it won’t conduce to the formation of the parliamentary majority. The practice shows that election violations can take place in case of very type of election system.” That’s it. It was impossible for the government to more openly and easily express their approach to the formation of the new parliament and their preparedness to the presidential elections. The other parties may argue and disagree, resist and slam the government. So did the ARF MP Ara Nranyan. He has noticed that the government having been actual minority, forms majority in the parliament. In other words the power is usurped. But as we see, nobody from the government denies this. Everybody knows everybody very well. The RPA is sure that the parties nominated for winning seats in the parliament, run not with the goals to actually gain victory. Each of them is ready to suffice with the seats allotted to them by the RPA. The ones, who are not satisfied by the number of seats, throw a few bitter words to the government. Others naively consider this an opposition behavior. In 2012, at least none of the parties winning seats in parliament will go out to the streets. If we take into account the predictions that ANC is among the favorites, then it will be represented in the parliament. It will have enough seats in order to refuse to go to the streets. But the number will be limited in order not to become a threat for the RPA in the future. There will be no tents in the Liberty Square; there won’t be Beethoven’s composition; there won’t be any complaining people there, who spend their nights in the tents. Conclusion: There won’t be the necessity of March 1.
