The polling was well-organized in general, however the electoral process evidently deteriorated during the ballot counting procedure, which was followed by violations and fraud, including serious cases of ballot stuffing. What a familiar story. We know those things almost literally. We hear such things after all elections, such as parliamentary, presidential, local-self government. OSCE monitors are only the authors of such stories. I am sure before attending to every former USSR country election monitoring they take out this ready text from their drawers, carefully fold it and put in their pockets. Europeans who left to monitor Russian State Duma elections needed this paper again. But we know the value of such monitoring very well. It does not worth a rusty peanut, as cannot ever influence on elections. Generally, in order to keep opposition sector alert (especially in the ANC demonstrations) Egypt, Libya and Tunisia events are often recalled. As if they want to say the sparkle was enough for the fire. How the people being out for justice treated the dictators? They almost defeated them. Of course Arabs were patiently waiting before their public rebellions. 20 years passed, and then 30, 40. Shortly after that, the wave of nationwide protest suddenly burst. Because like Arabs we also have two legs, two arms, and one head, and the same thing is possible among the circle of our society. Although in this case we do not consider several important factors. First of all, who is the core of revolution in AU countries? They are young people of about 25-35. That is to say this is the young peoples’ society full of life prospective. It is difficult to say whether such story progressing is possible in Armenia with such human resource. It is more likely that no. Instead, they prefer to remain silent and wait for the event development with curiosity. This is the philosophy of the majority. (Small groups of young people struggling for environment having local victories are the only nice exceptions). The thing is that simple people in our country, having the same mindset and the bearers of the same values as the government has, are ready to make a critical mass in the squares. You can give a post to any oppositional figure or an intellectual protesting against the authorities, and he will become corrupted and a bureaucrat officer in a very short period, looking at his job through his fingers. Even the free (we use this expression conditionally in our country) journalists become secret keepers and suspicions once they appear on TV screens or become a director of some media service. I mean none of us has serious discrepancy with authorities in general. Those who have (whose son was killed in army, became insane, whose relative is illegally sentenced, whose house is snatched in the sake of subordinating to the country’s supreme interests), they just don’t care. Each of them is trying to solve his or her problem in small groups. Clearly-in vain. From time to time this or that social movement is only being involved in demonstrating people’s problems. However their personal drama does not reach on the wave of public protest. So the Arab world precedents are not for us. However, there is a completely another story about Russia. Any political event held here is slightly influenced on us. Whatever happened in Russia on December 4 could not surprise us anyhow. The monitors were telling about ballot stuffing, carousel voting, being forcibly expelled from the precincts. However, everything was decided in the moment of ballot counting. They counted so as ”Yedinaya Rossiya” party (United Russia), the ruling party of Russia should have 50+1 vote percent. There is a well known truth, it does not matter who to vote for, but how to count the votes. The results of parliamentary elections already allow writing the name of the next president of Russia. Nobody can dispute that during parliamentary elections same scenario will happen in our country, as of Russian State Duma elections. Nobody believes the president and his satellites affirming the upcoming elections are going to be transparent. Or may be only Eduard Sharmazanov, deputy chairman of the NA does. Although I think he is also pretending. Political party experts, sociologists draw different scenarios about the upcoming Armenian Parliamentary elections, making the events more sensational with PAP – ARP conflicts, possible alliance between PAP and the ANC. Everything can happen, only one thing is evident it is the ARP which is going to be the voted with 50+1 percent in Parliament. Nobody struggles seriously; neither the opposition nor other political parties. Everybody accepted that sad idea subconsciously (and not only). The other issue is to manage posts from the rest 49 percent. That is to say the struggle in political arena goes in this logic. This means that it is difficult to predict serious changes in our country if we are still having foodstuff in the markets, clothing in the stores, and soup operas are still going on by TV channels, and a new luxurious car is standing in the garage.
