– Do you think the circle of events spread around the Prosperous Armenia is just a coincidence? Party members and supporters are arrested with drug keeping suspects.
– Those events started to spread only after the PAP successfully won Ijevan mayor elections. The thing is described by PAP representatives as a witch hunt. This victory is a real important result, and widely demonstrated PAP potential on the eve of coming parliamentary elections. Indeed such coincident never happen, when the political power reaches to a solid result, defeats the ruling party, when the later attempts to prove an already owned political monopoly, followed by the witch hunt. Certainly those events are interconnected, here there is a mutually related link, and this phenomenon cannot be disputed by anyone.
– And how far can those events reach?
– The farther the powers reach on this way. I think so; RPA has really lost its abilities to evaluate the situation and continues its tensions. It may result on highly desirable scenario, drawn by Levon Ter-Petrosyan. This thing is preferable for the ANC, because thus it would have been a collision between its two basic competitors (the PAP and RPA) during the parliamentary elections. It will be quite favorable for the ANC if there are inseparable contradictions between the RPA and PAP; in this case the third one will be the winner. I am critical about various inter-political approaches of Serzh Sargsyan, but nonetheless I am deprived from the idea that he suffers from political nearsightedness. He is quite experienced and provident politician, at least he could always find the right solutions in strategic issues. I do not think that Serzh Sargsyan will take the conflict way, and build up his politics in the framework of this scenario, which is certainly preferable by Levon Ter-Petrosyan.
– If L. Ter-Petrosyan wants to depress RPA and PAP, by persuading them against each other, what does his last message about PAP mean?
– Those types of messages are well-acknowledged tricks in political strategy, and aim to create competition among the basic concurrent. This is natural, because once a strong competition is expected among the three, and a collision is created among two, it is the third one that always wins. Today the collision is between the ANC and RPA, which was expressed by Levon Ter-Petrosyan in his last rally. According to him Armenia will either be destroyed, or Serzh Sargsyan will be destroyed. This is already a formula, which shows that ANC has irreversibly buried the dialogue between the authorities. Also, RPA seems to realize that it cannot gain the anticipated benefit anymore out of those dialogs. So far it succeeded, but it should also be able to be satisfied with what it has. It is impossible to expect that ANC will further continue this process; in the result of its distribution it had serious loss in terms of political rating and serious reduction of its supporters’ army. So the bridges are burnt here, and it is the turn of strong collision between ANC and RPA. In particularly ANC has openly declared that it will use coming parliamentary elections in order to mobilize its supporters, and realize a velvet revolution. In such circumstances the conflict between the two is more realistic, and naturally both of them are encouraged about the third one to become their ally. ANC is more interested in PAP separation from RPA, at least to become a third power and in the same time to start a tough conflict with RPA. As for RPA, it is more encouraged about PAP to continue its coalition activities, but to be aloof in criticizing RPA during the elections campaigns. It is very dangerous for any authority to fight in two fronts, especially in such disastrous social crisis, isn’t it? I don’t even mention about further tensions on G. Tsarukyan and his team-members, and how they will create oppressed and distressed halo around them. Even more G. Tsarukyan can be identical to Ivanashvili, a well-known entrepreneur from the neighboring country, by making him Serzh Sargsyan’s the most serious opponent in 2013 presidential elections. If G. Tsarukyan is taken as Sargsyan’s opponent on the overall background of social compliant, but not just a “third power”, he is likely to repeat Boris Yeltsin’s success, by convicting S. Sargsyan to Gorbachov’s destiny. Yeltsin was not ever accepted as a true opponent for Gorbachov. That he became because of rough tensions of CPSU against himself.
– In the ANC representatives of certain parties have been against about the ANC’s collaboration with the PA.
– Within the ANC everybody clearly desires that the RPA enters into a strong conflict with the PA. A part of the ANC parties believe in this perspective and others don’t. I also don’t believe that Serzh Sargsyan will ever cast the PA in the bosom of the ANC. I don’t believe that the RPA will pressure the PA so much to push them to collaborate with the ANC. If your colleague starts to pressure you and you have an alternative you are clearly going to use that chance. PA has a better advantage position-wise. PA has the opportunity to communicate and collaborate with the two of its opponents. The advantage is that this party has never had any serious conflicts with neither the RPA nor the radical opposition. And the RPA doesn’t have any grounds to indict the PA. In the meantime the PA clearly hints that the coalition duties start after the regular elections and end at the next elections. PA also realizes that each party may face lethal consequences if it take on the role of the annex or unwillingness to run on its own in elections. And the 20-year multi-party history of our country proves that the parties, which ran in coalitions didn’t have a political future or reputation. They have left the political arena in a fameless manner. HRAK, Henchaks, PPA are examples of such parties. I suggested that in 1999 PPA ran the race on its own. All these 18 political parties, which became members of the ANC, will soon be eliminated as political parties. The parties should run the elections on their own with their own ideology and with its unique platform. Now if the RPA suggests the PA to run based on a joint list it will mean that the RPA intends to destroy the PA as a political party.