The elections are over and it is up to the voters to decide for themselves whether the elections were fair and transparent or not.
We don’t intend to introduce the following figures as the truth; this is just the official preliminary information introduced by the Central Electoral Commission. Even though this information is not final, our experience shows that the preliminary records don’t differ much from the final ones. Furthermore, we have seen that applying to the Constitutional Court cannot change anything either. In the following chart you can see the records of all the thirteen communities of Yerevan and the regions of Armenia separately.
If you compare these records you will find an interesting fact; the parties can be divided in two parts with their proportion of votes; those that have received more votes in the regions and those that have received more votes in the capital. In this framework the leading party that received the most number of votes in the capital is the “Heritage” party, which was given 13.26% in Yerevan and 2.78% in the regions. “New Times” received 4.75% in Yerevan, and 2.83% in the regions. “Impeachment” bloc received 2.15% in Yerevan, and 0.92% in the regions. It is very strange that Tigran Karapetyan’s “People’s Party” received more votes in Yerevan than in the regions; it was given 2.9% in Yerevan and 2.57% in the regions.
There is a very strange coincidence, which is the fact that the parties that President Kocharyan said he wished could be elected in the parliament received more votes in the regions than in Yerevan.
Thus, ARF was given 8.65% in Yerevan and 14.43% in the regions. ARP was given 27.07% in Yerevan, and 35.27% in the regions, and accordingly PA was given 14.22% and 14.91%, ULP – 2.81% and 4.87%.
This can be explained two ways; either the voters in the regions prefer these parties more, or it is easier to “achieve” the goal in the regions than in Yerevan.
The CEC information can be used to make some more calculations. For instance, if we add the votes that “Impeachment” bloc, “New Times” and “Republic” parties received, it will add up to 87,435, which is 6.29% of the total capacity of votes. Accordingly, if they had united before the elections and run jointly, they could have gotten a minimum of 6%.
Now let’s add the votes of the other opposition parties that failed to be elected (NDP, NU, PDF, Impeachment, APP, PPA, Republic, New Times). These are the main opposition parties that their constituencies expected to unite before the elections. Thus, the total number of their votes is 181,766, which is 13% of the total capacity. Accordingly, it turns out that the oppositional power that is advocated by 13% of the constituency is not represented in the parliament. Furthermore, this is the failure that the authorities claim is the reason of their loss.
Anyway, these calculations are not final, as they are based on the preliminary information from the CEC. As for these numbers, making final assumptions based on them is like building a house on sand, which may collapse at any moment. Not only that, the print media companies don’t have the necessary modern technologies, as does the CEC, for presenting the outcome of the elections in different, beautiful colors, due to which journalists don’t have the opportunity to congratulate the victory of ARP and PA with happy, bright smiles.